Model Quality Overview
Model Development Controls, Testing, and Validation
Continuous Model Validation and Calibration for High-Quality Outputs
Importance of Model Quality
Cybersecurity risk modeling is the process of creating a variety of potential risk scenarios due to an organization’s cyber activities, assessing the likelihood and severity of each, and then quantifying the potential impacts if the scenario occurs. Leveraging a robust model is key when creating cyber mitigation strategies, as simple approaches are likely to render inaccurate results that obscure vulnerabilities.
Model Testing Processes
To ensure the accuracy of Kovrr's data modeling, inputs, and calculations, our team employs a top-down approach to testing our models. This process checks that the models generate realistic scenarios that an organization is likely to experience in the upcoming year so that executives can generate a risk management strategy that is reflective of the current risk environment.
Output Validation Approaches
Kovrr also applies model calculation testing and validation throughout the development process, which involves a series of automated tests to confirm that each aspect of the code has been implemented correctly.
Additionally, if a model change is proposed, the change to operations is first codified in a specification and reviewed internally to ensure high-level accuracy.
Exclusive Loss and Data Intelligence
Kovrr has exclusive access to large-scale insurance intelligence loss data and offerings, capturing an extremely broad range of scenarios and impacts to ensure the accuracy and precision of an organization's risk forecasts. Moreover, Kovrr's models have been validated and calibrated across 5 million companies, bolstering our models' outputs and data modeling capabilities.
Continuous CRQ Model Updates
Kovrr continuously validates and calibrates in models, nurturing a CRQ environment that can react quickly to any developments within a rapidly evolving cyber risk landscape. Moreover, this pragmatic approach allows our risk modeling experts to maintain a high level of confidence in the results, equipping CISOs with the forecasts necessary for building an accurate risk management framework.
Kovrr’s Model Quality Overview FAQs
Speak to an Expert to Learn MoreWhat are the main components used to maintain CRQ model quality?
Kovrr maintains the quality of its CRQ model by structuring risk controls around the three main components, or pillars, of "model risk."' The first of these pillars is the inputs and data fed to the models, where controls and checks are performed to ensure the model is calibrated on the correct data, used and interpreted appropriately. The second pillar is model calculations, which cover how the core mathematics of the simulation are implemented without error. Finally, the third pillar is the quantification outputs, which check that the overall simulation generates results that represent realistic scenarios.
What are the controls and validation tests for the input and data pillar?
For the inputs and data pillar, Kovrr has undertaken a combination of data validation expert reviews and comparisons against independent sources to ensure that parameters are accurate and well supported. We also establish change controls and audit management, keeping track of everything that has changed, including when and why. Similarly, when parameters are changed, we follow up with even more validation testing to prove the reasonableness of these updates.
What are the controls and validation tests for the model calculations pillar?
The model calculations concern the mathematics of the model and how it operates mechanically. When making changes, improvements, or adding new features to the model, we outline and review model-change specifications and implement change control management. Kovrr employs many modern coding standards to ensure the software acts appropriately and can be deployed quickly and without error. This includes the use of unit and integrity testing, as well as regression tests against prior results, so any changes to the model are well understood.
What are the controls and validation tests for the outputs and results pillar?
The outputs and results pillar confirms the correct operation of the model as a whole. We employ both a top-down and bottom-up validation approach for the CRQ assessment's output and results. Our experts review the results in direct comparison to historical events, industry reports, and client case studies, allowing us to prove that model outputs are accurate. We're also receiving continuous feedback from our clients who similarly remark upon the accuracy and preciseness of quantifications, allowing them to plan targeted cyber risk mitigation strategies.
Start Prioritizing Model Quality in Cybersecurity Risk Management
Modeling cyber risks is a crucial component of developing a robust cyber risk mitigation strategy, but not all modeling processes are reliable. Contact one of Kovrr’s cyber risk modeling experts today to learn more about our robust approach.
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